Poll
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World
We Did an Experiment to See How Much Democracy and Abortion Matter to Voters
Yes, the economy is important, but we found that election subversion attempts appear to matter more to voters than polling suggests.
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World
The Crisis in Issue Polling, and What We’re Doing About It
A poll can be very close to the actual result but miss the key story line. We’ll try new question forms; we might even try an experiment or two.
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World
If Biden Is So Unpopular, Why Do Democrats Keep Winning?
Produced by ‘The Ezra Klein Show’ A New York Times and Siena College poll released Nov. 5 showed Donald Trump leading Joe Biden in five of the six key swing states, with a notable jump in support among nonwhite and young voters. In response ...
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World
Trump Is Still Far Ahead in Iowa Poll, With Haley Matching DeSantis for 2nd
Former President Donald J. Trump leads his closest competitors by 27 percentage points in a new Des Moines Register poll, but Nikki Haley has surged to tie Ron DeSantis.
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World
I Helped Obama Get Re-Elected. Here’s How Biden Can Win Again, Too.
President Biden’s age is on the minds of American voters as they think about the 2024 election. It’s no wonder: In a poll I did last year, there was broad support (63 percent of Democrats, 55 percent of Republicans and 61 percent of independents) for ...
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World
More Republicans Say Trump Committed Crimes. But They Still Support Him.
The share of Republicans saying the former president has committed “serious federal crimes” has grown modestly, according to a new poll from The New York Times and Siena College.
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World
How Did We Do? A Review of 2022 Before Our First Poll of 2023.
Trying to learn from a strong midterm run as we start surveying the G.O.P. primary.
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World
The Panic Over Biden’s Age Is Manufactured
The relationship between political campaigns, the news media and the public isn’t exactly an interplay between independent actors. It’s a web of influence. This dynamic is particularly relevant when it comes to the avalanche of headlines and polls ...
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World
Reader Mailbag: Bots and Other Business
Answering questions on topics including polling, independent voters and Black turnout.
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World
Is Trump Way Up or Way Down?
The polls are surprisingly divided, but higher-quality surveys point to an answer.
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