Polls
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World
I Was a Republican Partisan. It Altered the Way I Saw the World.
I’m having the strongest sense of déjà vu. In 2012, I was a Republican partisan. This was when I was a conservative constitutional litigator and occasional Republican Party activist, before my journalism career. I’d helped form a group called ...
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World
Three Theories for Why Trump’s Primary Results Are Not Matching Expectations
He has underperformed the polls in each of the first three contests.
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World
A Trump Conviction Could Cost Him Enough Voters to Tip the Election
Recent general-election polling has generally shown Donald Trump maintaining a slight lead over President Biden. Yet many of those polls also reveal an Achilles’ heel for Mr. Trump that has the potential to change the shape of the race. It relates to ...
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World
Why Biden’s Weakness Among Young Voters Should Be Taken Seriously
Almost all the polling shows the same pattern. Could the coming campaign restore Democrats’ usual advantage?
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World
The Crisis in Issue Polling, and What We’re Doing About It
A poll can be very close to the actual result but miss the key story line. We’ll try new question forms; we might even try an experiment or two.
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World
In Ecuador, an Assassination Brings a Turning Point
Genevieve Glatsky, a reporter for the Andes bureau, discussed the assassination of Fernando Villavicencio, a presidential candidate who exposed governmental corruption.
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World
How Did We Do? A Review of 2022 Before Our First Poll of 2023.
Trying to learn from a strong midterm run as we start surveying the G.O.P. primary.
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World
Wait, the Campaign Is Halfway Done?
In the so-called invisible primary, there’s often a clear relationship between early polling and the eventual outcome.
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World
Is Trump Way Up or Way Down?
The polls are surprisingly divided, but higher-quality surveys point to an answer.
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World
Answering Reader Questions on a Covid Effect, Gerrymandering and More
How much did coronavirus deaths, redistricting and voter suppression matter in the last election?
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